Planning horizon
Projected closing stock by month · Jul 26 – Jun 27 · read-only plan
comfortableapproaching floorbreaching floor○ order placed▲ stock arrivessupplier shutdown
Production blackouts · Chinese New Year (China suppliers): 30 Jan 2027 → 26 Feb 2027. Orders are placed ahead so stock lands before the shutdown; the capital row shows deposits leaving early.
Product
Jul 26
Aug 26
Sep 26
Oct 26
Nov 26
Dec 26
Jan 27
shutdown
Feb 27
shutdown
Mar 27
Apr 27
May 27
Jun 27
▾Cap2 SKUs
858
6,144
3,536
4,279
2,705
2,146
3,412
3,273
3,082
3,643
5,408
4,590
▸125CP-STD-GRY-2.03
○
322○ ▲
3,251○
2,242 ▲
2,497○ ▲
1,429○
1,056 ▲
1,676 ▲
1,823○
1,7201,576
▲
2,5872,392
▸125CP-STD-GRY-2.425
○
536○ ▲
2,893○
1,294 ▲
1,782○ ▲
1,276○
1,090 ▲
1,736○ ▲
1,450○
1,362 ▲
2,066 ▲
2,8202,198
▾Plinth5 SKUs
-1,263
7,074
4,627
5,699
3,706
3,140
4,067
5,676
4,897
4,483
4,612
9,717
▸150P-STD-GRY-2.34
-245
○
1,470○
1,225 ▲
1,400 ▲
1,553○
1,3081,063
○ ▲
1,642○
1,397 ▲
1,547 ▲
1,7221,477
▸150P-STD-GRY-2.38
○
-2 ▲
339303
301
299
297
295
293
292
290
288
286
▸150P-STD-GRY-3.16
○
-6 ▲
55○
4842
▲
53○
4740
○ ▲
4741
▲
5447
41
▸185P-STD-GRY-2.38
○
-1,111○ ▲
4,9362,803
▲
3,479○
1,351○
1,118 ▲
2,302 ▲
3,309○
2,788○
2,440 ▲
2,405 ▲
7,431▸185P-STD-GRY-3.16
○
101○ ▲
274248
▲
477451
○
371366
▲
384380
○
154149
▲
482▾Post7 SKUs
4,114
5,917
4,712
5,381
3,545
2,403
4,113
3,318
3,195
3,704
2,976
2,348
▸100C-STD-GRY-2.4
○
56 ▲
449424
379
378
377
345
343
337
302
292
234
▸120C-STD-GRY-2.4
916
○
1,449985
▲
1,437○
890○
555 ▲
1,198 ▲
1,212○
1,192○
1,153 ▲
832 ▲
880▸120H-STD-GRY-2.4
2,779
○
3,346○
2,660 ▲
2,922○ ▲
1,636○
830 ▲
1,946○ ▲
1,144○
1,048 ▲
1,632 ▲
1,240649
▸165C-STD-GRY-TM200-3.2
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
▸165H-STD-GRY-TM200-3.2
294
294
293
293
292
291
291
290
289
289
288
288
▸180H-STD-GRY-3.2
○
-23 ▲
232204
203
203
202
200
199
199
198
194
169
▸180H-STD-GRY-3.5
○
-5 ▲
5151
51
51
51
37
34
34
34
34
34
▾Sleeper3 SKUs
22,700
34,771
37,819
19,573
39,923
21,271
30,017
25,153
21,678
21,145
22,786
33,139
▸SL155-STD-GRY
○
5,346○ ▲
5,484○
3,625 ▲
2,429 ▲
5,4565,403
2,204
2,151
2,098
○
2,0451,992
▲
5,774▸SL195-STD-GRY
○
7,907○
14,765 ▲
25,895○
9,907○ ▲
22,7769,480
▲
16,137○ ▲
17,519○
14,74711,903
▲
14,425 ▲
19,588▸SL235-STD-GRY
9,447
○
14,521○
8,299○ ▲
7,237○ ▲
11,692○ ▲
6,388 ▲
11,677○ ▲
5,483○
4,833○ ▲
7,196 ▲
6,369 ▲
7,776Capital outpayments due (deposits + balances) · ● order placed
●
$436k●
$729k●
$310k●
$171k●
$460k●
$46k$373k
●
$298k●
–●
$89k$250k
$450k
Sales valuedemand × “40ft” sell price (else lowest tier)
$606k
$665k
$681k
$770k
$505k
$706k
$333k
$730k
$127k
$170k
$452k
$476k
How these numbers work
Because a container takes about 2–3 months to make and ship, you can't reorder faster than the boat — so, like any importer, your stock is always in three places at once: in the pipeline (being made or on the water), working stock on the shelf, and a safety reserve beneath it. Carrying roughly a supply-line's worth of stock isn't excess — it's the cost of importing, and holding it is deliberate. The plan's job is to keep a shipment landing every month so what sells is replaced before you run short.
- Demand — each product's average monthly sales over the fixed baseline (the 12 months ending Jun 26; sales orders by order date, packs as loose units), times its growth target from the Targets page. A seasonal shape spreads that level across the year.
- Safety floor (the red line) — the reserve kept underneath your working stock for the unexpected: a month that outsells the forecast, or a shipment that runs late, while you wait about 2–3 months on the next container. Sized per product from its own demand swings at a 92% service level (Settings) — steadier products need less. You should rarely touch it; dropping below is an alarm, not a plan.
- Working cover — 1 month of demand held above the floor (Settings). This is the stock you actually run on day to day. Expand a product and the floor and cover are summed into a single Working cover & safety floor figure — the level each order tops stock back up to. Shipments arrive in whole-container lots, so on-hand rides above it and draws down between boats rather than sitting exactly on it.
- Ordering & shipping — every product is reviewed monthly and topped back up to floor + cover, moving as roughly one container load per supplier per month. Orders only combine when it genuinely removes a container (freight + unpack saved vs interest + storage — shown on each order card). The Chinese New Year shutdown pulls orders earlier automatically so stock is banked before the factories close.
- Self-correction— if real sales run sustainably above or below the plan, the Dashboard flags it within weeks and offers a one-click "lift to recent rate". It fails loudly, never silently.